The Pharmaceutical Market: Venezuela

OVERVIEW OF THE PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET IN VENEZUELA

We expect the Venezuelan government to continue its foreign currency and import control policies in Q412 and the local market will endure further government restrictions on pharmaceutical and healthcare industry. Multinationals will have the potential revenue-generation opportunities from Venezuela\'s increasing reliance on imported products to meet local demand, as the election outcome will not fix the production capacity issues in the domestic industry.

Headline Expenditure Projections

Pharmaceuticals: VEB33.26bn (US$5.46bn) in 2011 to VEB40.77bn (US$6.00bn) in 2012; +22.6% in local currency terms and +10.0% in US dollar terms. Forecasts down due to new industrial information.

Healthcare: VEB66.69bn (US$10.94bn) in 2011 to VEB83.29bn (US$12.26bn) in 2012; +24.9% in local currency terms and +12.0% in US dollar terms. Forecasts up due to new macro data.

Medical devices: VEB9.62bn (US$1.58bn) in 2011 to VEB11.54bn (US$1.70bn) in 2012; +20.0% in local currency terms and 7.6% in US dollar terms. Forecasts down due to new macroeconomic data.


Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.

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Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 14
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, 2009-2017 15

Healthcare Market Forecast 16
Table: Overall Healthcare Expenditure, 2009-2017 17
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure, 2009-2017 17
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure, 2009-2017 17

Economic Analysis 18
Table: Venezuela - GDP By Expenditure, Real Growth % 22

Prescription Drug Market Forecast 23
Table: Prescription Drug Sales, 2009-2017 24

Patented Drug Market Forecast 24
Table: Patented Drug Sales, 2009-2017 25

Generic Drugs Market Forecast 26
Table: Generic Drug Sales, 2009-2017 27

OTC Medicines Market Forecast 28
Table: OTC Medicine Sales, 2009-2017 29


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